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OECD-FAO agricultural outlook, 2012-2021

OECD-FAO agricultural outlook, 2012-2021
Bibliography note
Includes bibliographical references
no index present
Literary Form
non fiction
Main title
OECD-FAO agricultural outlook, 2012-2021
electronic resource
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Series statement
OECD-FAO agricultural outlook,, 1563-0447
This is the 18th edition of the Agricultural Outlook and the eighth prepared jointly with the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO). It brings together the commodity, policy and country expertise of both organisations, and input from collaborating member countries. The report provides world market trends for biofuels, cereals, oilseeds, sugar, meats, fish and dairy products over the 2012-2021 period and contains an evaluation of recent developments, and key issues and uncertainties in those commodity markets. A jointly-developed modelling system, based on the OECD's AGL
Table Of Contents
Foreword; Acknowledgements; Table of Contents; Acronyms and Abbreviations; The Outlook in Brief; Chapter 1. Overview of the OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2012; Introduction; The setting - A large rebound in supplies to calm markets; Food price inflation slowing across the world; Figure 1.1. Food price inflation rates are higher in developing countries; Table 1.1. Food Inflation rates in the BRIICS, January 2000 to January 2011; OECD countries; Figure 1.2. Food price inflation shows considerable variation in BRIICS and developing countriesFigure 1.7. Agricultural commodity prices to increase in nominal termsBox 1.2. Agricultural Market Information System (AMIS): History, objectives and structure; Global agricultural production to expand, but at a slower pace; Figure 1.8. Average annual growth in net agricultural output to slow down; Production shares of developing countries to continue to expand; Figure 1.9. Larger country shares of biofuels production by 2021; Figure 1.10. Change in the production of crops; Figure 1.11. Change in production of livestock and fish products; Stronger consumption growth set to continueStrong demand leads to increasing tradeFigure 1.12. Higher consumption of crop products; Figure 1.13. Higher consumption of livestock and fish products; Table 1.3. Share of OECD trade in world imports and exports of agricultural products declines; Figure 1.14. Increasing exports of crop products; Figure 1.15. Increasing exports of livestock and fish products; Figure 1.16. Regional shares of the change in value of agricultural imports and exports; Risks and uncertainties; Impact of different crude oil price assumptionsFigure 1.17. Crude oil prices affect agricultural commodity and biofuels marketsBiofuel mandates in the United States to encourage trade?; Price impact of a lower GDP growth in the BRIC countries; Figure 1.18. Impact on consumption and world prices of a 10% lower GDP growth in BRIC countries; Price impact of an appreciation of the US dollar; Table 1.4. Impact in 2021 of a 10% appreciation of the USD on world prices and net trade; Stochastic analysis: an illustration of price variability under varying factors conditioning the baseline projectionFigure 1.19. Simulated price results for cereals in 2021
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development- Food and Agriculture Organization agricultural outlookAgricultural outlook
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