European Parliament Library

Republic of Poland :, Selected Issues

Abstract
This Selected Issues paper employs a suite of models to determine the main drivers of inflation in Poland. Inflation in Poland has stayed below the lower bound of the target band for about two years with external shocks adding to downward pressure during 2014. The paper provides a range of inflation forecasts to assess the likelihood of protracted low inflation. The paper considers the main factors underlying recent inflation developments and assesses the importance of first-round indirect and second-round effects of external shocks for headline inflation. Using a variety of models, the paper also provides possible forecast paths for inflation in Poland
Table Of Contents
Cover; CONTENTS; FORECASTING INFLATION IN POLAND; A. Stylized Facts; FIGURES; 1. Recent Inflation Developments, 2004-15; B. Drivers of Recent Inflation Developments; 2. Potential Output and Inflation, 2004-14; 3. Drivers of Recent Inflation Developments, 2004-15; 4. Inflation and Interest Rate Expectations and Inflationary Pressure, 2006-15; C. Forecasting Inflation; 5. Disaggregate Model with Indirect and Second-Round Effects, 2010-16; TABLES; 1. STFS Model: Inflation Forecast; 2. Augmented Phillips Curve: Coefficient Estimates; D. Outlook and Risk; 6. Augmented Phillips Curve, 2009-16
Language
eng
Literary Form
non fiction
Note
Description based upon print version of record
Physical Description
1 online resource (67 p.)
Specific Material Designation
remote
Form Of Item
online
Isbn
9781513594279

Library Locations

  • EP Library Strasbourg

    7 Place Adrien Zeller, Allée du Printemps, Strasbourg, F-67070, FR
    Borrow
  • EP Library Brussels

    60 rue Wiertz, Brussels, B-1047, BE
    Borrow
  • EP Library Luxembourg

    Rue du Fort Thüngen, Luxembourg, L-1313, LU
    Borrow