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Spillovers of the U.S. Subprime Financial Turmoil to Mainland China and Hong Kong SAR :, Evidence from Stock Markets, Xiaojing Zhang, Tao Sun

This paper focuses on evidence from stock markets as it investigates the spillovers from the United States to mainland China and Hong Kong SAR during the subprime crisis. Using both univariate and multivariate GARCH models, this paper finds that China's stock market is not immune to the financial crisis, as evidenced by the price and volatility spillovers from the United States. In addition, HK's equity returns have exhibited more significant price and volatility spillovers from the United States than China's returns, and past volatility shocks in the United States have a more persistent effect on future volatility in HK than in China, reflecting HK's role as an international financial center. Moreover, the impact of the volatility from the United States on China's stock markets has been more persistent than that from HK, due mainly to the United States as the origin of the subprime crisis. Finally, as expected, the conditional correlation between China and HK has outweighed their conditional correlations with the United States, echoing increasing financial integration between China and HK
Table Of Contents
Contents; I. Introduction; II. Performance of China and HK's Stock Markets-Stylized Facts and Some Preliminary Observations; III. Related Literature; IV. Data and Methodology; V. Empirical results; A. UGARCH Models; B. MGARCH models; VI. Conclusions and Policy Implications; Tables; 1. Emerging Stock Market Peaks and Troughs: Current Episode; 2. Data Description and Transformation; 3. Daily Equity Price Returns: Summary Statistics; 4. Equity Prices and Volatility Indices: Augmented Dickey-Fuller Tests Statistics; 5. VAR Lag Oder Selection Criteria; 6. The Distribution of Squared Returns
Literary Form
non fiction
1st ed.
"August 2009."
Physical Description
1 online resource (44 p.)
Specific Material Designation
Form Of Item

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