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U.S. Inflation Dynamics :, What Drives Them Over Different Frequencies?, Ravi Balakrishnan, Sam Ouliaris

Contributor
Abstract
This paper aims to improve the understanding of U.S. inflation dynamics by separating out structural from cyclical effects using frequency domain techniques. Most empirical studies of inflation dynamics do not distinguish between secular and cyclical movements, and we show that such a distinction is critical. In particular, we study traditional Phillips curve (TPC) and new Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC) models of inflation, and conclude that the long-run secular decline in inflation cannot be explained in terms of changes in external trade and global factor markets. These variables tend to impact inflation primarily over the business cycle. We infer that the secular decline in inflation may well reflect improved monetary policy credibility and, thus, maintaining low inflation in the long run is closely linked to anchored inflation expectations
Table Of Contents
""Contents""; ""I. INTRODUCTION AND SUMMARY""; ""II. TRADITIONAL PHILLIPS CURVE ""; ""III. NEW KEYNESIAN PHILLIPS CURVE (NKPC)""; ""IV. CONCLUSIONS AND POLICY IMPLICATIONS""
Language
eng
Literary Form
non fiction
Note
"June 2006"
Physical Description
1 online resource (27 p.)
Specific Material Designation
remote
Form Of Item
online
Isbn
9780146235481

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