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Fiscal Surveillance in a Petro Zone :, The Case of the CEMAC, Johannes Wiegand

This paper discusses fiscal surveillance criteria for the countries of the Central African Monetary and Economic Union (CEMAC), most of which depend heavily on oil exports. At present, the CEMAC's macroeconomic surveillance exercise sets as fiscal target a floor on the basic budgetary balance. This appears inadequate, for at least two reasons. First, fluctuations in oil prices and, hence, oil receipts obscure the underlying fiscal stance. Second, oil resources are limited, which suggests that some of today's oil receipts should be saved to finance future consumption. The paper develops easy-to-calculate indicators that take both aspects into account. A retrospective analysis based on these alternative indicators reveals that in recent years, the CEMAC's surveillance exercise has tended to accommodate stances of fiscal policy that are at odds with sound management of oil wealth
Table Of Contents
""Contents""; ""I. INTRODUCTION""; ""II. METHODOLOGY""; ""A. Gap Analysis""; ""B. Sensitivity Analysis of the Market Value of Equity (MVE)""; ""C. Duration""; ""D. Value at Risk""; ""E. Issues in Estimating Interest Rate Risk Exposure of Banks""; ""F. Data Description""; ""III. RESULTS""; ""A. Cross Sectional Heterogeneity""; ""IV. CONCLUSIONS AND POLICY IMPLICATIONS""; ""References""
Literary Form
non fiction
Description based upon print version of record
Physical Description
1 online resource (28 p.)
Specific Material Designation
Form Of Item

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