European Parliament Library

What Makes Growth Sustained?, Jonathan Ostry, Andrew Berg, Jeromin Zettelmeyer

We identify structural breaks in economic growth in 140 countries and use these to define "growth spells:" periods of high growth preceded by an upbreak and ending either with a downbreak or with the end of the sample. Growth spells tend to be shorter in African and Latin American countries than elsewhere. We find that growth duration is positively related to: the degree of equality of the income distribution; democratic institutions; export orientation (with higher propensities to export manufactures, greater openness to FDI, and avoidance of exchange rate overvaluation favorable for duration); and macroeconomic stability (with even moderate instability curtailing growth duration)
Table Of Contents
Contents; I. Introduction; II. Structural Breaks and "Growth Spells"; A. Identifying Structural Breaks in Economic Growth; Tables; 1. Growth Breaks by Decade and Region; Figure; Frequency of Upbreaks and Downbreaks, by Region; B. From Structural Breaks to Growth Spells; 2. Frequency and Duration of Growth Spells; III. Analyzing the Duration of Growth Spells; 3. Average Growth Before, During and After Growth Spells; A. Empirical Strategy; B. Regression Methodology; C. Results; 4. Duration Regressions: External Shocks; 5. Duration Regressions: Institutions
Literary Form
non fiction
"March 2008."
Physical Description
1 online resource (35 p.)
Specific Material Designation
Form Of Item

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