European Parliament Library

The Real Effects of Financial Sector Risk, Andrea Maechler, Alexander Tieman

Abstract
This paper estimates the magnitude of key effects on the real economy from financial sector stress. We focus on the short-run feedback effect from market-based indicators of financial sector risk to the real economy through the credit channel, and estimate this effect on an economy-wide (macro) level, as well as on the level of individual large banks. Both estimates yield significant feedback effects of substantial magnitude. The estimates are consistent with other work in this area. Our results suggest that prudential supervision could be enhanced by taking into account the feedback effects of financial instability in the real economy. We also propose a way to integrate feedback effects into stress tests in order to improve realism and accuracy or macroeconomic stress scenarios, as well as a metric to interpret stress testing results
Table Of Contents
Cover Page; Title Page; Copyright Page; Contents; I. Introduction; II. Data; 1. Average Distance-to-Default in the Sample; 2. Average One-Year Expected Default Frequency; 1. The Distance-to-Default Measure; 3. Real Private Sector Credit Growth; III. Methodology; IV. Regresion Results and Discussion; 1. Macroeconomic Regressions-Distance-to-Default Indicators and Implied Effect on Credit Growth for Major European Banks; 2. Bank-Specific Regressions-Distance-to-Default Indicators and Implied Effect on Credit Growth for Major European Banks; V. Conclusion and Policy Implications
Language
eng
Literary Form
non fiction
Note
Description based upon print version of record
Physical Description
1 online resource (49 p.)
Specific Material Designation
remote
Form Of Item
online
Isbn
9781452777306

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