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Bank Recycling of Petro Dollars to Emerging Market Economies During the Current Oil Price Boom, Johannes Wiegand

High oil prices have once again led to large external surpluses of oil exporting countries, similar to the 1970s and 1980s. This paper analyzes the extent to which (i) oil exporters use bank deposits to invest these surpluses, and (ii) banks are lending on these funds to emerging market economies. Bank recycling of petro dollars to emerging market economies is found to be almost as important as in the 1970s and 1980s, even though during the current boom, petro dollar bank flows tend to originate in countries like Russia, Libya, or Nigeria rather than in the Middle East. As one consequence, a fall in oil prices could yet again disrupt financing flows to emerging economies. Especially at risk could be countries that rely heavily on bank loans to finance external deficits, many of them in Emerging Europe
Table Of Contents
Contents; I. Introduction; Figures; 1. Bank Flows to Emerging Markets, 1970-1985; 2. Emerging Markets: Current Account, 1970-2007; Tables; 1. Emerging Markets: Current Account Position by Region; 2. Oil Exporters: External Position and Deposit Flows into BIS-Reporting Banks, 2001-06; II. Data and Some Stylized Facts; III. Identification and Estimation Strategy; 3. Correlation of Deposit Outflows with the IMF Average Oil Price.; 3. Identifying and Estimating Petro-Dollar Bank Flows: Basic Scheme; 4. Identifying and Estimating Petro-Dollar Bank Flows: Extended Scheme; IV. Results
Literary Form
non fiction
Description based upon print version of record
Physical Description
1 online resource (28 p.)
Form Of Item

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