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Are Emerging Asia’s Reserves Really Too High?, Marta Ruiz-Arranz, Milan Zavadjil

Empirical analysis does not suggest that reserves are "too high" in the majority of Asian countries, though China may be a special case. Much of the reserve increase in Asia can be explained by an optimal insurance model under which reserves provide a steady source of liquidity to cushion the impact of a sudden stop in capital inflows on output and consumption. Moreover, the benefits of reserves in terms of reduced spreads on privately held external debt further explains the observed growth in reserves since 1997-98. Using threshold estimation techniques, the paper shows that most of Asia can still benefit from higher reserves in terms of reduced borrowing costs
Table Of Contents
Contents; I. Introduction; II. Developments in Reserve Adequacy Indicators; Tables; 1. Volatilities of Capital Flows in Asia-Pacific Economies; Box 1: Why Scale Reserves by Gross External Liabilities?; III. An Insurance Model of Optimal Reserves; 2. Output Loss in Asian Crisis; 3. Interest Rate Spreads; 4. Estimated Sterilization Financing Costs; 5. Foreign Reserves Levels: Optimal Vs. Actual; IV. A Threshold Model of Spreads-Reserves Elasticity; 6. Thresholds in the Spreads-Reserves Relations; V. Conclusions
Literary Form
non fiction
Description based upon print version of record
Physical Description
1 online resource (36 p.)
Specific Material Designation
Form Of Item

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