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Regional Financial Integration in the Caribbean :, Evidence From Financial and Macroeconomic Data, Goohoon Kwon, Raphael Espinoza

Abstract
This paper assesses the extent of regional financial integration in the Caribbean Community (CARICOM) by analyzing equity prices in the region and rigidity of external financing constraints. The results are presented in a cross-regional perspective. The Caribbean stock markets are not as well integrated as one would expect from the extent of cross-listing and importance of regional banking groups: price differentials of cross-listed stocks reach an average of 5 percent. Auto-Regressive models suggest that these price differentials are only slowly arbitraged away, with half-lives exceeding 7 worked days, even when looking only at large arbitrage opportunities (using a Threshold Auto-Regressive model). A speculative methodology using macroeconomic data seems to confirm these findings. A strong mean reversion of the current account (respectively regional trade imbalances) is interpreted, following Obstfeld and Taylor (2004), as a lack of ways to finance current account deficits, i.e. a lack of global (respectively regional) financial integration. The region appears to be much less integrated than the EU15 or the ASEAN+3 groups, although it fares well compared to other LDCs
Table Of Contents
Contents; I. Introduction; II. Background; III. Stock Price Convergence; A. Data; B. AR results; C. Threshold Auto-Regression (TAR) estimator; IV. Current Account Convergence and Regional Trade Balance; A. Theory; B. Estimation framework; C. Global Financial Integration; D. Intra-regional trade and regional financial integration; V. Conclusion; References; Appendix A; Tables; 1. Balance of Payments; 2. UNCTAD FDI Inward Stock (In millions U.S. dollars, 2001; 3. UNCTAD FDI Outward Stock (In millions of U.S. dollars, 2001); 4. Regional Exports, as a Share of GDP
Language
eng
Literary Form
non fiction
Note
"July 2009"
Physical Description
1 online resource (37 p.)
Specific Material Designation
remote
Form Of Item
online
Isbn
9786612843532

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