European Parliament Library

Exchange Rate Assessments :, Methodologies for Oil Exporting Countries, Irineu de Carvalho Filho, Rudolfs Bems

Are the current account fluctuations in oil-exporting countries "excessive"? How should their real exchange rate respond to the evolution of external (and domestic) fundamentals? This paper proposes methodologies tailored to the specific features of oil-exporting countries that help address these questions. Price-based methodologies (based on the time series of real effective exchange rates) identify a strong link between the real exchange rate and the terms of trade, but have relatively limited explanatory power. On the other hand, an empirical model of the current account, which fits oil exporting countries' data well, and an intertemporal model that takes into account the stock of oil reserves provide useful benchmarks for oil exporters' external balances
Table Of Contents
Contents; I. Introduction; Figures; 1. Current Account Behavior for Oil Exporters; 2. Oil Dependency and Volatility, 1970-2006; II. Price Based Methodologies; A. Regression model setup; B. Econometric results; C. Robustness; D. Implementation; Tables; 1. ERER Regression: Long-Run Coefficients (1980-2007); III. Quantity Based Methodologies; 2. Determinants of the Current Account in the Medium-Run: 1969-2007; IV. Balance Sheet-Based Methodologies; A. Theoretical Background; B. Allocation Rules; C. Determinants of Current Account Balances; D. Implementation; Text Tables
Literary Form
non fiction
"December 2009."
Physical Description
1 online resource (37 p.)
Specific Material Designation
Form Of Item

Library Locations

  • EP Library Brussels

    60 rue Wiertz, Brussels, B-1047, BE
  • EP Library Strasbourg

    7 Place Adrien Zeller, Allée du Printemps, Strasbourg, F-67070, FR
  • EP Library Luxembourg

    Rue du Fort Thüngen, Luxembourg, L-1313, LU