European Parliament Library

After the Crisis :, Assessing the Damage in Italy, Silvia Sgherri, Hanan Morsy

Italy’s deep-rooted structural problems resulted in an unsatisfactory productivity performance and a dismal growth over the last 15 years. The global financial crisis has exacerbated these long-standing weaknesses, taking a heavy toll on Italy’s economy. With output back to its end-2001 level, Italy’s output losses associated with the crisis have been, thus far, about 132 billion of 2000 euro (around 10 percent of precrisis 1998 - 2004 real GDP). About three quarters of these losses are estimated to be due to a shortfall in potential output. Potential output is not expected to rebound to its precrisis trend over the medium term, even though growth is projected to do so within the next two years. In the short-run, the decline in output is mainly accounted for by a collapse in productivity; in the medium term, employment and capital are also likely to be affected, with implications for the longer-term growth and fiscal outlook
Table Of Contents
Cover Page; Title Page; Copyright Page; Contents; I. Introduction; II. Productivity: Italy's Achilles' heel; 1. Contributions to GDP Growth; III. The crisis: a new toll on productivity; 2. Comparison Recession; 1. Italy: Gross Value Added Growth and Contributions 1/; IV. Alternative ways to disentangle temporary from permanent losses; 3. Demand or Supply? Capacity Utilization and Expected Capacity Constraints; 4. Looking at Potential and Labor Productivity Growth Using HPTrends; 5. Short- and Medium-term Forecasts Based on a MV Approach; 2. Contributions to Growth in Times of Crisis
Literary Form
non fiction
"October 2010."
Physical Description
1 online resource (45 p.)
Specific Material Designation
Form Of Item

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