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The Volatility Costs of Procyclical Lending Standards :, An Assessment Using a Dsge Model, Silvia Sgherri, Bertrand Gruss

The ongoing financial turmoil has triggered a lively debate on ways of containing systemic risk and lessening the likelihood of boom-and-bust episodes in credit markets. Particularly, it has been argued that banking regulation might attenuate procyclicality in lending standards by affecting the behavior of banks’ capital buffers. This paper uses a two-country DSGE model with financial frictions to illustrate how procyclicality in borrowing limits reinforces the “overreaction” of asset prices to shocks described by Aiyagari and Gertler (1999), and to quantify the stabilization gains from policies aimed at smoothing cyclical swings in credit conditions. Results suggest that, in financially constrained economies, the ensuing volatility reduction in equity prices, investment, and external imbalances would be sizable. In the presence of cross-border spillovers, gains would be even higher
Table Of Contents
Contents; I. Introduction; II. Empirical Evidence; III. The Model; A. Home economy; B. Foreign economy; C. Shocks; D. Equilibrium and solution method; IV. Calibration; V. Policy experiment: altering the cyclical pattern of lending standards; A. Benchmark leverage level; B. Alternative leverage levels; VI. Sensitivity analysis; VII. Conclusions; Appendix; References; Tables; 1. Results from Estimating an AR(1) Processes to Demeaned LTVs; 2. Benchmark Calibration; Figures; 1. Time Variation in Loan-To-Value Ratios; 2. Share of Output Variation Explained by Credit and Asset Price Shocks
Literary Form
non fiction
Description based upon print version of record
Physical Description
1 online resource (39 p.)
Specific Material Designation
Form Of Item

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