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Enhancing Macroeconomic Resilience to Natural Disasters and Climate Change in the Small States of the Pacific, Ezequiel Cabezon, Leni Hunter, Patrizia Tumbarello, Kazuaki Washimi, Yiqun Wu

Abstract
Natural disasters and climate change are interrelated macro-critical issues affecting all Pacific small states to varying degrees. In addition to their devastating human costs, these events damage growth prospects and worsen countries’ fiscal positions. This is the first cross-country IMF study assessing the impact of natural disasters on growth in the Pacific islands as a group. A panel VAR analysis suggests that, for damage and losses equivalent to 1 percent of GDP, growth drops by 0.7 percentage point in the year of the disaster. We also find that, during 1980-2014, trend growth was 0.7 percentage point lower than it would have been without natural disasters. The paper also discusses a multi-pillar framework to enhance resilience to natural disasters at the national, regional, and multilateral levels and the importance of enhancing countries’ risk-management capacities. It highlights how this approach can provide a more strategic and less ad hoc framework for strengthening both ex ante and ex post resilience and what role the IMF can play
Table Of Contents
""Cover Page""; ""Title Page""; ""Copyright Page""; ""Contents""; ""List of Tables""; ""List of Figures""; ""I. Introduction and Motivation""; ""II. Stylized facts""; ""1. Average Number of Natural Disasters per Year""; ""2. Pacific Island Countries: Number of Natural Disasters per Year""; ""3. Pacific Island Countries: Joint Probability of Occurrence of a Natural Disaster""; ""4. Probability of Occurrence of Natural Disasters""; ""5. Natural Disaster Risks � World Risk Index, 2014""; ""6. Natural Disaster Risks � World Risk Index, 2014, Top 16""
Language
eng
Literary Form
non fiction
Note
Description based upon print version of record
Physical Description
1 online resource (72 p.)
Specific Material Designation
remote
Form Of Item
online
Isbn
9781513512372

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