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Fiscal Policy and Interest Rates :, How Sustainable Is The “New Economy”?, Manmohan Kumar, David Hauner

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Abstract
This paper explores the determinants of long-term government bond yields in the Group of Seven (G-7) economies and analyzes the factors that could explain the conundrum of very low rates in the face of a variety of adverse factors in recent years. In particular, the paper focuses on the deteriorating fiscal position in the G-7 economies and enquires which factors could have offset their impact on long-term interest rates, and how sustainable they are likely to be. A model of interest rate determination is elaborated and estimated for the G-7, with explicit emphasis on capital flows and public savings. The results suggest a high likelihood of a substantial impact of the weaker budgetary positions in the G-7 on global interest rates when the offsetting unprecedented capital flows slow down
Table Of Contents
""Contents""; ""I. INTRODUCTION""; ""II. LOW GLOBAL INTEREST RATES: POSSIBLE EXPLANATIONS""; ""III. A MODEL OF INTEREST RATE DETERMINATION""; ""IV. EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE""; ""A. Data and Methodology""; ""B. Empirical Results""; ""C. A New Economy of Interest Rates?""; ""V. CONCLUSIONS AND POLICY IMPLICATIONS""; ""REFERENCES""
Language
eng
Literary Form
non fiction
Note
"May 2006."
Physical Description
1 online resource (34 p.)
Specific Material Designation
remote
Form Of Item
online
Isbn
9786613827364

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