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The Behavior of Currencies during Risk-off Episodes, Reinout De Bock, Irineu de Carvalho Filho

Episodes of increased global risk aversion, also known as risk-off episodes, have become more frequent and severe since 2007. During these episodes, currency markets exhibit recurrent patterns, as the Japanese yen, Swiss franc, and U.S. dollar appreciate against other G-10 and emerging market currencies. The pattern of these moves can be explained by a combination of fundamental factors, such as the nominal interest rate, the international investment position and measures of exchange rate misalignment, and market-liquidity factors, such as bid-offer spreads and restrictions on international capital flows. We also find that currency performance in a risk-off episode has become more related to a currency?s yield and relationship to broader risks in recent years
Table Of Contents
Cover; Abstract; Contents; I. Introduction; Figures; 1. FX Spot Returns at Different Horizons, Average of 8 Risk-off Episodes; II. Risk-off Episodes; A. Identifying Risk-off Episodes; 2. VIX and Risk-off Episodes; Tables; 1. Initial Dates of Risk-off Episodes; B. Why Have Risk-off Episodes Become More Frequent?; 3. Increased Financial Integration and Correlations; III. What Happens to Exchange Rates During Risk-off Episodes?; A. Are Risk-off Episodes Alike?; 2. Correlation of Spot Returns Across Episodes; B. Evidence From VARs
Literary Form
non fiction
"Monetary and Capital Markets Department, Research Department."
Physical Description
1 online resource (35 p.)
Specific Material Designation
Form Of Item

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